Forecasting vs Speculation Posted on November 26, 2018November 12, 2018 by Simon Forecasting (in words) bears no relation to speculation (in deeds). Nassim Taleb Author of Skin in The Game... Read More
Aging Three (Nostalgia Week) Posted on November 19, 2014November 9, 2014 by Simon “We thought we were being mature when we were only being safe.” from A Sense of an Ending by Julian Barnes First published March 2012.... Read More
Avoiding Moral Hazard Posted on June 22, 2010 by Simon Moral hazard occurs when someone insulated from risk behaves differently than they would behave if they were fully exposed to the risk. An example is people who live in coastal zones where there is a ... Read More