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Lead in Toys an Unexpected Consequence

Here is a prediction:

The lead paint in toys recalls will turn into concern about all older toys. Many parents and grandparents will discard all old the the old toys that they have. As a result there will be higher than usual purchases of new toys this years. But because of increased inspections for flaws the supply chain will be less full than usual. As a result prices will stay firm and toy manufacturers and and retailers will make more money than expected.

This prediction will be testable in January 2008

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